Measuring GenAI ROI: Why Projects Stall and How to Fix It
By Dr. Mehrdad Shirangi · 2026-03-15
The thesis in one line: If you didn’t measure the baseline, you can’t prove ROI.
Why GenAI projects struggle to show ROI
When ROI can’t be shown, look past the technology. Look for this pattern: the team ships a system, calls it a success, and three months later the CFO asks "what did we save?" — and the only answers available are activity metrics. Hours of usage. Demos completed. Models deployed. None of these are returns.
Worse, the expectations and the system are out of phase. Leadership expects a return on a calendar that doesn’t match how the system actually matures. The project gets defunded before it has a chance to deliver. The team writes off AI as overhyped. The cycle repeats.
What actually moves the needle
Three short observations:
- AI should prove its value in business terms your leadership already trusts. Usage alone does not prove ROI; tie the metric to cost, revenue or risk.
- Set expectations around the business result, not an arbitrary calendar. Different AI systems mature on different timelines. Pretending otherwise is how projects get killed prematurely.
- The win is measured in outcomes leadership can defend. A clean before/after on the metric that matters to the business is worth more than a hundred slides on what you built.
Who we are
Blackmount.ai Inc builds AI knowledge agents for industrial operations. Founded by Dr. Mehrdad Shirangi, former Head of AI for Cisco’s supply chain.
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